SIMPLE PASSENGER TRANSPORT ECONOMICS |
CAN OUR BUSINESS BE PROFITABLE?In order to determine if our business can be profitable, a clear legal framework must be available, which must be understood by the carrier. The legal framework
should deal with specific issues such as: Once the legal framework is developed and understood the carrier can begin the process of establishing a profitable enterprise. The first step is to discover how much it costs to operate the vehicles (buses, in this case) and provide the service/s required. The Capital Cost of Purchasing the Fleet If the business does not have vehicles, the first step will be to determine how much it will cost to either buy or lease the vehicles, and here we have to take into consideration any interest or other financial charges, that may apply. A financial calculation must be included in order to provide the funds for replacement vehicles when the current fleet become time expired. In this depreciation calculation, an assumption is made that the vehicle/s loose some amount of their value, each year, so that eventually the vehicles have no actual value in the financial calculations of the business. The deprecation period will depend on the initial capital value of the vehicle, its expected economic working life, and the accounting procedures of the business. The amount of assumed depreciation for each vehicle and any capital expenditure items must be set aside each year, and invested appropriately, so that the funds exist for replacement, at the appropriate time. This procedure will also have to be adopted for any other capital investment such as buildings and maintenance equipment. Vehicle Maintenance Having obtained the vehicles and made provision for their eventual replacement, the next calculations involve vehicle maintenance. Here we need to consider the following: Workshop costs Rent, taxes, electricity, heating, telephone, building and equipment maintenance. Maintenance staff The wages of the managers, engineering staff, and administration costs staff involved in vehicle maintenance including any taxes or other employment related costs Consumable items Oils, filters etc. Tyres Component parts Clutches, brake linings, road springs etc. In general these costs are allocated to each vehicle, according to the amount of routine maintenance and unscheduled repair it requires. The amount allocated may vary as the requirements of each make and type of vehicle may be different, It is important to allocate these costs accurately, so that comparisons can be made between different makes and types of vehicles, in order to identify the most reliable and cost efficient vehicle for a particular operation. It is also important to identify the cost of any repairs, which are required due to accident damage, as these are generally avoidable with improved training and supervision. Vehicle Operating Costs The next step is to identify how much it costs to operate the vehicles. Here we must consider: Establishment costs Offices and other buildings, parking facilities, ticketing facilities and equipment, signage, maintenance, office equipment etc. Annual Kilometre The annual mileage of the total fleet necessary to provide the performance required level of service, in terms of routes covered and frequency. Operating Staff costs The wages, taxes and other employment costs of managers, administration staff, ticketing staff, drivers, ticket inspectors, etc who are involved with operating the vehicle. Running costs Fuel costs and the fuel economy of the vehicles. Vehicle licence costs. Having identified our costs we have to decide on the level of profit we are looking for and the likely tax liabilities of our enterprise. How to Get Paid In Order to Recover the Costs Once the cost of providing the services have been identified, and quantified, the next issue is, who is going to pay for it? Here we have to identify the number of passengers we expect to carry and the source of our revenue. If a policy is followed where each journey, regardless of how long or short that journey is, is charged at the same rate, then it is a matter of identifying how many passengers are carried in a given period. Then divide the total operating costs (including tax liabilities and profit sought), by the total number of passengers carried, which will determine the level at which the fares need to be set. This may come directly for the fares paid by the passengers, or it may be provided by local, regional or national administrations, in the form of subsidies, or tax concessions. The carriers income will usually be derived partly from fare revenue with the remainder coming from one or more forms of subsidy. Subsidies for Providing Social Services Subsidies are usually paid where local, regional or national authorities what carriers to provide services for social reasons which would not be sustainable on the fare income alone. The social reasons for providing such services may include the provision of services in rural and less developed areas, providing services outside peak times and providing services to retired people, children, disabled people and military staff, railway workers and various other social or employment related groups. However, the authority/s that believe it to be correct, to allow these groups to receive subsidised or even free travel, should be prepared to pay to carrier the full fare where the passengers travel for free. They should also pay the difference between the full fare and the actual fare collected, where the passenger travels at a reduced rate. This should apply to every journey taken. Therefore it may be appropriate for the local administration to pay the carrier all of the fare or the difference between the full fare and the fare paid for each journey taken by the pensioners, children and disabled people living in its town or region. However, it may also be reasonable to expect the Federal Administration to pay the carrier for the journeys taken by military personnel. Additionally, if groups of workers such as railway personnel are carried for free or at reduced rates, their employer, in this case the Railway Company should reimburse the carrier for every journey taken by their employees. There may also be environmental considerations for promoting public transport and discouraging the use of private cars, such as reducing air / noise pollution and reducing / avoiding traffic congestion. Therefore the fares set by the carrier, and the standard of the vehicles / services provided, need to encourage the use of public transport wherever possible. This is however an area where the financial benefits can be difficult to quantify. Amongst others the benefits may include improvements in public health, and a reduction in working time lost due to traffic congestion. Here again, the Federal Authority or the regional administration may decide to subsidise the fares charged by the carrier to specific passenger groups, at certain times of the day or week, or on specific routes in order to encourage the use of public transport. The authority should reimburse the carrier for any shortfall in revenue i.e. the difference between the full fare and the fare charge, for each passenger journey. When we are considering concessionary fares it may also be reasonable to suggest that only those individuals within the specified social groups, such as children and pensioners, who do not have sufficient financial means should receive free or discounted travel. The Expectation of the Subsidising Agency When any subsidy of passenger transport is being considered, the supplier of the subsidy should seek the maximum value from the carrier for the financial support provided. Therefore, it will be necessary for the carrier to operate in the most effective and efficient manner. Amongst the carriers considerations should be: The cost and depreciation of new vehicles which only need routine maintenance, against the operation and maintenance of old vehicles where unscheduled repairs and in service failure will be common. It will be important to select suitable vehicles for the journey. For instance the use of minibuses may be inappropriate for a major city centre where large numbers of passengers are transported. However this type of vehicle may be suitable for suburban areas or smaller towns where passenger numbers are less. It will also be essential to identify passenger flows so that the correct frequency of operation can be established. For example, a service frequency of 10 minute intervals, may be required during peak periods, however this frequency may be reduced to hourly interval at less busy times of the day or week. These considerations will influence the number of staff employed by the carrier and the shift patterns worked. For example, as some drivers may be only required during peak periods, their working day may be split into two short periods of 3-4 hours each. It may also be possible to programme vehicle maintenance so that it is carried out outside of the peak periods for vehicle use. This will ensure maximum fleet availability when it is needed most, during peak passenger traffic flows, and it may also to reduce the actual number of vehicle required. Considerations of this type will eventually lead to effective working practices being developed, and will enable the enterprise to operate at the minimum cost whilst achieving the maximum level of service to its customers. Once this point is reached and a number of carriers have developed efficient operations, the relevant local or federal authorities may want to introduce a level of competition into the market place. This is where issues such as the contracting out of services, route licensing, and competitive tendering may need to be considered. |
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